UD Melilla vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
MEL
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 1
ALG
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 2
MAR
45%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
MEL
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SRQ
2 - 1
MEL
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 0
MUR
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 0
BET
60%
22%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
LOR
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 1
GRA
13%
20%
68%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
LOR
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |