UD Melilla vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 2
MEL
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 0
PAL
60%
22%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ECI
2 - 1
MEL
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALG
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAD
5 - 1
MEL
62%
23%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 0
ARR
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 0
LOR
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
LOR
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 0
LUC
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 0
LOR
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |