UD Melilla vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
MUR
4 - 2
MEL
62%
19%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ALC
1 - 0
MEL
64%
18%
18%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
MEL
4 - 2
VAL
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
MLL
1 - 1
MEL
66%
18%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
CAS
5 - 2
MEL
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
UDE
2 - 1
HER
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
HER
3 - 0
CDT
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
HER
1 - 2
UDL
63%
20%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
BAL
1 - 0
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
XER
1 - 2
HER
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |