UD Melilla vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
SLA
1 - 0
MEL
58%
21%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
MEL
2 - 0
VAL
61%
20%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ALC
6 - 2
MEL
65%
19%
17%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
MEL
3 - 1
CAR
68%
16%
16%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
MAL
1 - 1
MEL
83%
11%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
HER
1 - 1
MUR
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
RCD
0 - 0
HER
57%
20%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
HER
4 - 1
GRA
60%
19%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
HER
3 - 1
ATB
82%
11%
7%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
SLA
4 - 2
HER
48%
22%
30%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |