UD Melilla vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.2%
14.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
SFE
4 - 0
MEL
44%
22%
34%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
MEL
3 - 1
BAL
74%
15%
11%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
CAT
3 - 2
MEL
51%
21%
28%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
SDC
1 - 0
MEL
78%
13%
9%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
MEL
2 - 0
ANT
79%
12%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
SFE
4 - 0
MEL
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
ANT
5 - 3
SFE
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
SFE
2 - 2
CAD
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
ALG
4 - 0
SFE
45%
22%
33%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -3 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
SFE
5 - 1
LCF
66%
17%
17%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |