UD Melilla vs Español de Tetuán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.9%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9%
5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
GIM
1 - 0
MEL
30%
23%
47%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
MEL
4 - 1
VIL
88%
8%
4%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
CDP
1 - 5
MEL
31%
23%
46%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
MEL
2 - 1
CEU
90%
7%
3%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
VIL
1 - 1
MEL
31%
23%
46%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Español de Tetuán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
EST
1 - 0
SDC
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
CDA
1 - 3
EST
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
GIM
1 - 2
EST
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
EST
7 - 1
VIL
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
SDC
8 - 1
EST
87%
8%
5%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |