UD Melilla vs CP Cacereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
UCA
1 - 1
MEL
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
BET
66%
20%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
MEL
15%
27%
58%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 1
AGD
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RJA
0 - 2
MEL
44%
30%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CPC
2 - 1
ROD
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 3
CPC
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 1
CPC
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CPC
1 - 3
ECI
52%
26%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LUC
0 - 1
CPC
53%
26%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |