UD Melilla vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 0
MEL
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
LOR
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 2
MEL
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 0
PAL
60%
22%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ECI
2 - 1
MEL
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
ARR
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 2
ALB
17%
27%
56%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 0
ARR
67%
20%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
LUC
30%
29%
41%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
ARR
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |