Melgacense vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
45.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melgacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
MEL
66%
19%
14%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
ESP
16%
21%
63%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +3 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AMA
2 - 1
MEL
46%
24%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
BRA
16%
21%
62%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CER
0 - 1
MEL
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VIA
3 - 3
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
VIA
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VIA
2 - 2
FAO
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIA
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VIA
0 - 0
JOA
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |