Melgacense vs Moreira do Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-83%
+306%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melgacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AAR
3 - 0
MEL
68%
18%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PON
3 - 0
MEL
55%
22%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 12
RON
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
7 - 0
MEL
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 2
ESP
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Moreira do Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MLI
0 - 2
PAC
37%
23%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |