Melgacense vs Caçadores das Taipas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melgacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
PON
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
RON
1 - 1
MEL
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 4
MEL
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
SAN
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Caçadores das Taipas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
CAC
10%
18%
72%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 1
VIA
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAC
68%
19%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 0
MAR
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
CAC
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |