Melegnano vs Pievese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melegnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PAN
0 - 3
MEL
16%
20%
63%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NUO
0 - 5
MEL
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BOR
1 - 2
MEL
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 1
ROZ
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 2
MEL
16%
20%
64%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pievese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PIE
0 - 3
NUO
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ROZ
1 - 0
PIE
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
PIE
62%
20%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PIE
1 - 0
EXC
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
USO
2 - 1
PIE
10%
17%
73%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | -1 |