Melegnano vs ASD Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+141%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melegnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
USO
2 - 3
MEL
9%
16%
75%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 2
MON
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MED
1 - 3
MEL
13%
19%
69%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LOC
0 - 4
MEL
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
NUO
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ROZ
4 - 1
EXC
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PAN
1 - 0
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
USO
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MON
5 - 0
EXC
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |