Melegnano vs Borgolombardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melegnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
MEL
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
4 - 0
VAL
86%
10%
4%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
MEL
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAV
81%
13%
7%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Borgolombardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BOR
2 - 1
NUO
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ROZ
1 - 1
BOR
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BOR
1 - 0
EXC
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BOR
3 - 1
USO
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |