Melbourne Victory U21 vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
MEL
1 - 2
POR
36%
21%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
OAK
2 - 5
MEL
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | +3 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
MEL
2 - 3
AVH
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SOU
4 - 2
MEL
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 3
HEU
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
MEL
1 - 4
GRE
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
POR
2 - 2
MEL
45%
25%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
AVH
5 - 1
MEL
85%
11%
4%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 2
SOU
16%
22%
62%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
HEU
2 - 1
MEL
75%
17%
9%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |