Melbourne University vs Western Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
83.5%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.2%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
WSD
0 - 3
MUS
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
MEL
5 - 2
WES
74%
17%
8%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
WES
1 - 4
HEU
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
WES
0 - 1
GRE
32%
27%
41%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
WES
0 - 0
FRA
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +3 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
WES
0 - 1
PLI
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |