FC Melbourne Knights vs Whittlesea Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
RIC
2 - 2
MEL
24%
23%
53%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALM
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
FAB
0 - 3
MEL
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
PLI
2 - 1
MEL
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 0
OAK
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Whittlesea Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2008 |
WHZ
0 - 1
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PLI
1 - 1
WHZ
75%
17%
8%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2008 |
WHZ
1 - 5
AIS
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -4 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
WHZ
1 - 3
PLI
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
PLI
1 - 2
WHZ
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +1 |