FC Melbourne Knights vs Western Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 0
MEL
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 0
PLI
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
MEL
0 - 0
AIS
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +3 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
SOU
2 - 2
MEL
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
MEL
0 - 1
HUM
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
WES
1 - 4
HEU
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
WES
0 - 1
GRE
32%
27%
41%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
WES
0 - 0
FRA
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +3 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
WES
0 - 1
PLI
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
WHZ
0 - 1
WES
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |