FC Melbourne Knights vs Sunshine George Cross analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2009 |
WHZ
1 - 1
MEL
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 2
HEU
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
HUM
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 1
GRE
51%
26%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sunshine George Cross
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SGC
0 - 1
PLI
77%
16%
7%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 1
SGC
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
DAN
1 - 1
SGC
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
SGC
1 - 1
OAK
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SGC
2 - 1
RIC
56%
24%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |