FC Melbourne Knights vs Richmond analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
ALM
2 - 2
MEL
17%
22%
61%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 1
FAB
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
WES
1 - 2
MEL
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
MEL
0 - 0
GRE
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
PLI
1 - 1
MEL
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
GRE
3 - 2
RIC
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
PLI
1 - 5
RIC
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
AIS
3 - 3
RIC
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
RIC
2 - 1
OAK
46%
24%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 0
RIC
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |