FC Melbourne Knights vs Preston Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
ALM
2 - 1
MEL
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 2
DAN
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SGC
2 - 1
MEL
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
WHZ
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
HEU
0 - 1
MEL
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Preston Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
WHZ
2 - 1
PLI
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PLI
0 - 7
HEU
35%
26%
40%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -3 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DAN
4 - 0
PLI
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PLI
0 - 1
SGC
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
HUM
6 - 0
PLI
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |