FC Melbourne Knights vs Preston Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
MEL
0 - 0
AIS
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
SOU
2 - 2
MEL
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
MEL
0 - 1
HUM
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
HEU
0 - 1
MEL
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
MEL
4 - 0
FRA
81%
14%
5%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Preston Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
PLI
3 - 2
GRE
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
OAK
1 - 2
PLI
37%
26%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
WES
0 - 1
PLI
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
AIS
2 - 1
PLI
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
PLI
2 - 0
OAK
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |