FC Melbourne Knights vs Port Melbourne Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
-89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
HEU
1 - 0
MEL
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
OAK
3 - 1
MEL
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
HUM
2 - 0
MEL
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 1
SOU
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 1
HUM
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Port Melbourne Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
HUM
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BRD
0 - 4
POR
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 3
POR
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
POR
0 - 4
HEU
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
NOR
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |