FC Melbourne Knights vs Pascoe Vale SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AVH
5 - 0
MEL
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
COC
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
MEL
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
OAK
2 - 1
MEL
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 4
BEN
19%
24%
56%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Pascoe Vale SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 4
SOU
26%
21%
53%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 6
PAS
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
PAS
2 - 1
OAK
32%
23%
46%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
PAS
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
PAS
2 - 1
HUM
23%
22%
55%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |