FC Melbourne Knights vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 0
OAK
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 0
RIC
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MEL
5 - 0
PLI
77%
16%
8%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ALM
2 - 1
MEL
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
GRE
4 - 0
PLI
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 0
WHZ
71%
19%
10%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SGC
1 - 0
GRE
36%
28%
37%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
RIC
2 - 3
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
OAK
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |