FC Melbourne Knights vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+132%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 1
PLI
23%
25%
53%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MEL
3 - 1
STA
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
MEL
1 - 2
MEL
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
GRE
3 - 0
MEL
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MEL
3 - 0
POR
55%
22%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DAN
5 - 1
POR
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
OAK
3 - 1
DAN
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
DAN
2 - 1
AVH
14%
20%
66%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
DAN
1 - 0
SOU
17%
22%
62%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
DAN
3 - 2
HEU
22%
23%
56%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |