FC Melbourne Knights vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis

FC Melbourne Knights Dandenong Thunder SC
27 ELO 28
8.8% Tilt -5.1%
6648º General ELO ranking 4991º
82º Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
44%
FC Melbourne Knights
21.8%
Draw
34.2%
Dandenong Thunder SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
FC Melbourne Knights
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
34.2%
Win probability
Dandenong Thunder SC
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Melbourne Knights
-54%
+144%
Dandenong Thunder SC

ELO progression

FC Melbourne Knights
Dandenong Thunder SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Melbourne Knights
FC Melbourne Knights
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2021
POR
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 - 1
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
62%
20%
18%
25 31 6 0
14 Mar. 2020
AVH
Avondale Heights
6 - 1
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
77%
15%
8%
26 41 15 -1
06 Mar. 2020
MEL
FC Melbourne Knights
2 - 4
Hume City FC
HUM
42%
24%
34%
27 34 7 -1
01 Mar. 2020
2 - 0
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
52%
21%
27%
28 29 1 -1
21 Feb. 2020
MEL
FC Melbourne Knights
3 - 3
Dandenong Thunder SC
DAN
58%
20%
22%
27 25 2 +1

Matches

Dandenong Thunder SC
Dandenong Thunder SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2021
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
1 - 1
Dandenong City
DAC
58%
19%
23%
29 27 2 0
29 Jan. 2021
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
2 - 1
Heidelberg Utd
HEU
31%
22%
47%
29 37 8 0
22 Jan. 2021
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
1 - 0
Altona Magic
ALM
62%
18%
20%
28 23 5 +1
15 Mar. 2020
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
1 - 2
Port Melbourne Sharks
POR
56%
21%
23%
29 30 1 -1
09 Mar. 2020
ELS
Eastern Lions
0 - 1
Dandenong Thunder SC
DAN
12%
15%
73%
28 18 10 +1