FC Melbourne Knights vs Centre of Excellence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
SWE
2 - 5
MEL
9%
17%
75%
|
56 | 14 | 42 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
MEL
5 - 0
SGC
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 2
WHZ
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
MEL
3 - 2
GRE
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
ESR
0 - 1
MEL
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | +3 |
Matches
Centre of Excellence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
COE
1 - 2
FAB
69%
19%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ALM
1 - 0
COE
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
COE
4 - 0
HEU
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +8 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
KIN
4 - 0
COE
28%
25%
48%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
SGC
0 - 1
COE
78%
15%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |