FC Melbourne Knights vs Bulleen Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
MEL
28%
23%
50%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
NOR
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HEU
6 - 1
MEL
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
GRE
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 2
POR
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Bulleen Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
BUL
2 - 2
SOU
10%
16%
74%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
BUL
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
BUL
1 - 0
OAK
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
BUL
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BUL
2 - 1
SOU
13%
18%
69%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |