FC Melbourne Knights vs Avondale Heights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
DAC
0 - 5
MEL
39%
23%
39%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
DAN
0 - 2
MEL
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
DAC
2 - 0
MEL
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -3 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 1
OAK
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
HEU
2 - 2
MEL
64%
19%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Avondale Heights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
AVH
3 - 1
BEN
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
AVH
1 - 4
WPH
6%
14%
80%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AVH
2 - 1
STA
89%
8%
3%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ELS
0 - 4
AVH
9%
16%
75%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
AVH
3 - 1
BEN
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |