FC Melbourne Knights vs Altona Magic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
36%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 1
MEL
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HUM
3 - 3
MEL
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 1
MEL
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 3
PAS
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 2
OAK
16%
21%
64%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +3 |
Matches
Altona Magic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
4 - 0
ALM
66%
18%
17%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FCB
0 - 3
ALM
9%
15%
76%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
NCW
1 - 8
ALM
10%
16%
74%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 3
SOU
22%
20%
58%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
OAK
2 - 4
ALM
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -4 |