FC Melbourne Knights vs Altona Magic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
FAB
0 - 3
MEL
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
PLI
2 - 1
MEL
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 0
OAK
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
PLI
1 - 0
MEL
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MEL
2 - 1
COE
79%
15%
7%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Altona Magic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ALM
0 - 0
GRE
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
ALM
0 - 1
OAK
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -3 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 1
FAB
61%
21%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
RIC
1 - 0
ALM
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ALM
1 - 0
COE
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |