FC Melbourne Knights vs Altona Magic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-90%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
FAB
1 - 0
MEL
8%
16%
77%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
RIC
0 - 2
MEL
9%
17%
74%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 0
OAK
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
MEL
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 1
ESR
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Altona Magic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
ALM
0 - 1
OAK
33%
25%
43%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
GRE
5 - 1
ALM
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 2
ESR
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
SOU
1 - 3
ALM
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
ALM
1 - 2
HEU
14%
20%
67%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |