Medigliese vs Melegnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
68.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Medigliese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 0
MED
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MED
0 - 2
ROZ
15%
19%
66%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 3
MED
24%
23%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MED
1 - 3
USO
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MON
3 - 0
MED
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Melegnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LOC
0 - 4
MEL
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 0
BOR
63%
20%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
MEL
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
4 - 0
VAL
86%
10%
4%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | +1 |