KV Mechelen vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
KVM
2 - 2
KSV
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 2
KVM
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
BVO
0 - 2
KVM
17%
20%
63%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
KVM
3 - 1
TUB
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
KVM
3 - 0
KVK
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
LEU
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 2
KVM
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
KSV
1 - 1
UNI
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
GNK
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
BEE
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |