KV Mechelen vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
14º
8º
39
6º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
KVC
1 - 1
KVM
37%
24%
39%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
KVM
1 - 1
ANT
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KVM
1 - 2
BRU
50%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
BEE
2 - 2
KVM
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
KVK
3 - 1
KVM
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SDL
0 - 1
GEN
24%
24%
51%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BEE
0 - 0
SDL
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SDL
1 - 1
LEU
34%
26%
41%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
GNK
2 - 1
SDL
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
SDL
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |