KV Mechelen vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
5º
4º
27
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
LEU
1 - 2
KVM
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KVC
2 - 2
KVM
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
KVM
2 - 3
KVC
45%
24%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 0
KVM
37%
27%
37%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
KVM
1 - 1
LEU
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
SDL
0 - 1
CHA
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LEU
1 - 1
SDL
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
SDL
0 - 1
LEU
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
SDL
1 - 1
KVC
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DEN
1 - 1
SDL
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |