KV Mechelen vs KAS Eupen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
8º
17º
13º
29
11º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
KVM
2 - 0
SDL
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GEN
3 - 0
KVM
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KVM
1 - 3
AND
30%
25%
46%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRU
3 - 0
KVM
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KVM
0 - 0
LEU
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
KAS Eupen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
EUP
4 - 2
LEU
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CER
5 - 1
EUP
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
EUP
0 - 4
GEN
18%
26%
56%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
STR
0 - 1
EUP
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
EUP
1 - 2
UNI
12%
20%
67%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |