Mechelen U21 vs Lyra-Lierse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
72.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
11º
7º
55
4º
17º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 52 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
49.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
58% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
82% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
21.5% | 30% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 70% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mechelen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LIL
1 - 3
MEC
82%
12%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MEC
1 - 1
BER
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TON
1 - 4
MEC
88%
9%
3%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
MEC
82%
13%
6%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MEC
2 - 0
BOC
5%
14%
80%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Lyra-Lierse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LYR
2 - 3
SPO
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BOC
1 - 3
LYR
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LYR
2 - 1
KSC
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 0
LYR
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
DIE
1 - 1
LYR
23%
24%
54%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |