Mdina Knights vs Mtarfa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mdina Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SIG
2 - 0
MDI
82%
13%
5%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MDI
0 - 4
VEN
14%
17%
69%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 0
MDI
88%
8%
4%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MDI
0 - 5
MEL
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 0
MDI
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MTA
1 - 1
BIR
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
MQA
0 - 3
MTA
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MTA
4 - 0
RAB
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
QRE
0 - 1
MTA
59%
20%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MTA
3 - 0
XGH
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |