Mdina Knights vs Luqa St. Andrew's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
75.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mdina Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ZAB
1 - 1
MDI
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
MDI
0 - 1
SIG
15%
19%
66%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
RAB
2 - 1
MDI
88%
9%
3%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MTA
1 - 0
MDI
86%
9%
5%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MDI
2 - 3
MSI
37%
21%
42%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Luqa St. Andrew's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LUQ
3 - 0
MTA
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
MSI
0 - 2
LUQ
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LUQ
2 - 0
RAB
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
LUQ
4 - 0
ZAB
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +4 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SIG
1 - 3
LUQ
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |