USM Oujda vs Olympique Dcheïra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
46.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
13º
6º
47
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
STM
1 - 0
USM
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
RKZ
2 - 2
USM
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
USM
2 - 1
CBG
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
WYD
3 - 1
USM
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
USM
1 - 1
RAC
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Dcheïra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ODC
1 - 0
WTE
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ODC
0 - 0
CAS
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
RAJ
0 - 0
ODC
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ODC
1 - 2
CHA
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
KAW
0 - 1
ODC
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |