USM Oujda vs Renaissance Zemamra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
43.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
13º
6º
54
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
RAJ
2 - 2
USM
32%
30%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
USM
0 - 0
JSM
38%
29%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
WTE
0 - 0
USM
17%
27%
56%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CBG
0 - 0
USM
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
USM
1 - 0
WYD
39%
29%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Renaissance Zemamra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
RKZ
0 - 1
WYD
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ROZ
0 - 0
RKZ
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
RKZ
1 - 0
ASS
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ODC
3 - 1
RKZ
36%
29%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
RKZ
1 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |