USM Oujda vs Chabab Benguerir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
13º
6º
40
3º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WYD
1 - 0
USM
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
USM
0 - 0
YOU
16%
25%
60%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ROZ
3 - 1
USM
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
USM
2 - 1
CHA
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ASS
4 - 0
USM
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chabab Benguerir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CBG
1 - 0
WTE
58%
26%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CBG
1 - 1
ROZ
19%
28%
53%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ASS
0 - 0
CBG
36%
28%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CBG
2 - 0
WYD
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ODC
1 - 0
CBG
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |