USM Oujda vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
13º
6º
37
2º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ASS
4 - 0
USM
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
USM
0 - 0
RAC
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ITM
1 - 1
USM
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
USM
1 - 0
ODC
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
STM
1 - 0
USM
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
RAJ
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ROZ
1 - 1
CHA
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 3
ITT
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
WYD
2 - 3
CHA
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 1
ASS
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |