MC Saida vs JSM Tiaret analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
10º
16º
14º
58
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MC Saida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ASM
0 - 0
MCS
56%
23%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BOU
4 - 0
MCS
45%
27%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
EBA
3 - 0
MCS
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MCS
3 - 0
MOS
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
KOU
1 - 1
MCS
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
JSM Tiaret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
TIA
2 - 0
OLY
27%
28%
45%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
RCR
0 - 1
TIA
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
MOS
0 - 0
TIA
37%
28%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TIA
3 - 1
KOU
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SAD
1 - 5
TIA
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |