MC Alger vs CS Constantine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
5º
1º
34
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 59 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 53 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 50 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 45 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 42 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 38 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 36 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
79.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 23 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MC Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 3
ALG
53%
27%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 0
ALG
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
ALG
3 - 2
JSK
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ALG
2 - 2
BEL
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ESM
1 - 1
ALG
27%
31%
42%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CS Constantine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
CON
2 - 2
CHL
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
ESM
0 - 0
CON
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
OAK
1 - 0
CON
10%
15%
74%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BEL
0 - 2
CON
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CON
0 - 1
EBA
70%
20%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |