Sergiyev Posad vs Saturn II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.5%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.1%
2.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+468%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergiyev Posad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
ZOR
6 - 2
SER
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
FZN
90%
8%
3%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
FPR
1 - 7
SER
15%
18%
67%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SER
4 - 0
FKL
87%
9%
4%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
PER
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Saturn II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
SAT
1 - 5
FKL
5%
11%
84%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
PER
6 - 2
SAT
93%
6%
2%
|
7 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SAT
1 - 3
DOL
5%
11%
84%
|
8 | 39 | 31 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
OSB
3 - 0
SAT
91%
7%
2%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SAT
1 - 2
MSS
44%
22%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |