Umka Magnitogorosk vs Zvezda Perm II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
77.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+722%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umka Magnitogorosk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
FMA
10 - 0
MSU
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MSU
2 - 6
UNT
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FPP
4 - 3
MSU
88%
9%
4%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
TOB
5 - 2
MSU
90%
7%
3%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 3
MSU
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Zvezda Perm II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SZP
0 - 5
FII
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FST
1 - 2
SZP
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SZP
3 - 0
FTM
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SKO
4 - 3
SZP
45%
22%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SZP
1 - 1
FKT
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |