Mbeya City vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
31.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+119%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
MBE
0 - 0
SUN
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MBE
1 - 0
MWA
47%
29%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
JKT
2 - 0
MBE
40%
29%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MBE
0 - 0
TAN
42%
30%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MBE
1 - 2
AZA
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
YOU
1 - 1
SIM
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SIM
4 - 0
MMA
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AZA
0 - 1
SIM
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SIM
2 - 0
MTI
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
SIM
2 - 1
RUV
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |